2024 has been a record year of global elections, with surprising results and the rise of identity politics. In the UK, the Conservative party lost to Labour, while key issues like the Gaza conflict and global economy have driven political conversations and voter turnout. As we approach the U.S. presidential race in November, the question looms: will the Black vote play a role in deciding the outcome and what should it stand for in 2024?
 A Historical Look
The significance of the Black vote in U.S. elections has long been a topic of discussion. When Barack Obama was elected as the first Black president in 2008, it was seen as a pinnacle moment for African Americans, the culmination of decades of struggle stemming from the civil rights movement of the 1960s. The election symbolized hope and progress, not only for Black people in America but also globally, as it seemed to affirm the notion that America was moving toward racial equality.
Obama's presidency brought a sense of euphoria to the Black community, but systemic issues like police brutality, racial discrimination, and economic disparity persisted. This led to frustration and cynicism about the presidency's power to effect change, as seen in the 2020 election, when Black voter turnout was less enthusiastic than in previous cycles.
Black Vote in 2024
As we approach the 2024 U.S. election, the race is more polarized than ever. With the nation divided on issues ranging from immigration to the economy, every vote counts—and that includes the Black vote, especially in key swing states like Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, where African Americans make up a substantial portion of the electorate. But what does the Black vote articulate in this cycle?
The Black vote in the U.S. has no defining issue, but pressing concerns like police brutality, racial discrimination, economic inequality, and healthcare disparities remain. However, these issues have not been at the forefront of this year's political agenda. Instead, focus has been on the economy, inflation, and foreign policy, which do not directly address the long-standing challenges faced by Black communities in America.
In the 2024 election, Vice President Kamala Harris's presence on the Democratic ticket is seen as a source of pride and progress for Black voters, particularly Black women. African immigrants, particularly from Nigeria, Ghana, and Ethiopia, align with the Democratic Party's progressive stance on immigration reform, racial equity, and policies aimed at improving the economy for minority communities. African immigrants tend to prioritize policies affecting their integration into American society.
Cynicism & black vote
There is a growing sense of fatigue among some Black voters, a feeling that despite their continued participation in the electoral process, real change remains elusive. After decades of fighting for civil rights, battling systemic injustices, and witnessing limited progress, many within the community have begun to question whether their vote truly matters.
The Black vote can be a significant force for change, as demonstrated in the 2020 election in Georgia, where a large Black electorate secured a Democratic victory. It's crucial not to succumb to cynicism, as active and engaged participation can significantly influence the country's direction, especially in tight races.
A Global Perspective
Can the Black voice be uniform across the globe? It’s important to acknowledge that the issues facing Black people vary from country to country. In the U.K., for instance, concerns within the Black community may centre on unemployment, gang violence, and social mobility. In contrast, Black Americans often prioritize issues like health disparities, police brutality, and economic opportunities.
While certain struggles—such as racial discrimination—may be universal, the focus and the political context are region-specific. Nevertheless, in the U.S., the Black vote has the potential to wield significant influence in determining the outcome of the 2024 election. Swing states, particularly those with large Black populations, could prove decisive.
The key challenge will be ensuring that Black voters turn out in high numbers, as voter apathy could lessen their electoral impact. Political campaigns on both sides are well aware that they cannot afford to overlook this crucial voting bloc.
Conclusion
The Black vote is expected to significantly influence the U.S. election outcome, particularly in key swing states. The race is close, and the Black vote could be the deciding factor. The question now is whether the community will be motivated by the issues that matter most to them, or if growing cynicism will suppress their participation. Regardless, the Black vote remains a powerful force in U.S. elections.